It’s been over 100 days of us living through various stages of
Lockdown and Unlock. More importantly, it’s been a century of days without live
Cricket. In the absence of live sporting action of any consequence, thrills are
cheap and mostly attained by keeping score of kitchen essentials and
live-tracking delivery of groceries. Somewhere along the way, the twain merged
and I found strange but stark parallels between the state of Cricket and
various Retail channels. Here goes:
1.
E-COMMERCE = T20
What’s common between ordering a cheese filled Pizza online and
watching a close T20 Cricket match in the middle of a working day? The Rush!
It’s fast-paced, It’s exciting, it’s instant gratification, it’s inexpensive,
it’s (more often than not) non-essential, but it’s a lot of fun.
In last 10 years, the growth in the share of attention, investment
and popularity for both T20 and eCommerce has been unparalleled. One the one
hand, Amazon’s market cap jumped from $50 Bn in 2009 to $1.4 Trillion while on
the other, the brand value of IPL more than tripled from $2 Bn to around $7 Bn.
While the numerical jump is just indicative of a trend, it doesn’t encapsulate
the cultural shift both T20 and eCommerce brought to the arena.
Both T20 and eCommerce are considered as the future of their
respective fields. Both offer ample opportunities to new players and both have
relatively lower barriers to entry. An artisanal Greek yogurt maker has the
same opportunity of success on eComm as Amul. This is not too different from the
platform that T20 leagues provide to relatively unknown players by pitting them
against the best in the world.
However, despite the stellar growth rate and valuation surge –
both T20 and eCommerce account for lower contribution to their core universe
than the excitement they generate. The contribution of e-Commerce to overall
FMCG sales as of March 2020 is still 2.8% (1.9% in March 2019) as per Nielsen.
In his career so far, Virat Kohli has played 281 T20 matches and faced 6614
balls. This pales in comparison to the 12552 balls he’s faced in just 86 Test
Matches that he’s played so far. Even among bowlers, Jasprit Bumrah has bowled
almost as many number of balls in just the 14 Test matches he’s played as he
has in the 157 T20s he’s appeared in for his national & local team.
There, I said it! Online shopping is T20 - maximum noise, a lot of analyst interest but - least playing time.
KIRANA = TEST MATCHES
For a lot of people, watching a 5 Day Test Match or visiting the
corner store for provisions handed over in unattractive packaging is a tedious
chore bereft of excitement. For years now, there have been multiple obituaries
written for the same, all premature. Announcements of any new format or the
entry of a new player - 100 Ball Match, Omni-Channel eco-systems, Big companies
entering - usually expedite the pace at which these doomsday predictions are
made.
While there is some merit to the decaying growth and audience
interest in these formats, the robustness of their model stands unquestioned.
In the initial weeks of the lockdown, in March and April, the humble Kirana
store kept it fed as eCommerce players struggled to find their f(l)eet. Even as
the overall contribution is trending towards a decline, Traditional trade
channels account for 86% of all FMCG goods sold in India. In fact, as per an EY
survey, nearly 50% of the consumers have a more positive outlook towards their
local kiranas and they are quickly becoming a trusted point in the local
ecosystem.
Similarly, Test Cricket in India and around the World, despite the
lack of audience interest, still accounts for majority of the cricket played at
grassroots level. The Indian Ranji Season, English County Season and the
Australian Domestic Tests are more important to the supply pipeline for future
international cricketers than T20 Leagues.
Beyond all the attention, it is the respect accorded to Test
Cricket and Traditional trade channels by Industry Leaders and Top Cricketers
that is likely to ensure its longevity. True greatness of both, a Cricketer and
a Consumer Product is measured by its performance in these channels. No matter
how popular the said artisanal Greek yogurt brand would be online, it is not
successful until it’s available and sold at the corner store alongside Amul
Dahi!
Along the course, there will be the big changes like Day-Night
Tests and Kirana tie-ups with Tech & Telco players for hyper local
delivery. These will further cement their places in the overall scheme of
things. Just the way T20 money is being used to keep Tests alive, chances are
EComm giants will continue to invest behind Offline Retail and Traditional
Channels for supply efficiency.
So, Cricket has taught me Kirana is the Test Match! Still the
toughest, still the least "popular" in terms of perception - most
revered by players & real fans (FMCG companies, distributors and
home-makers)
3.
SUPER MARKETS = ODIs
This brings me to the final observation – Supermarkets! They’re
the ODIs of the Retail Channel. Both see an occasional interest from the
audience. A visit to the Supermarket isn’t entirely out of necessity, but
neither is it as non-essential as ordering a cheese filled Pizza. Watching a
One Day International match and visiting a Supermarket provide maximum
satisfaction when limited to occasions. Sitting through a bilateral ODI series
is as cumbersome as going to the supermarket for just a bar of soap. The time
and effort spent just don’t do any justice to the utility derived.
Just like ODIs offer the player an opportunity to showcase both
their hitting prowess and their technical finesse, Supermarkets are the perfect
place for brands to sell their bestselling SKUs and test new variants.
Supermarkets just like ODIs, do suffer from the “Middle Overs” lull during
weekdays and have all the action packed into Saturday and Sunday like
Power-play and the death overs.
Which is why for both ODIs and Supermarkets an occasion is most
important for relevance. ODI needs events like the World Cup and Champions
Trophy to stay exciting just the way supermarkets create retail festivals
during Independence Day and Price-Offs to generate consumer buzz.
The Supermarket is an ODI - somewhere in the middle of daily needs
and irregular indulgences, best enjoyed through occasional visits.
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